The fiscal bomb that keeps on giving – opinion

Dominic Sandbrook: How John McDonnell threatens Britain | Daily Mail Online

It is no secret that the British left has had a difficult relationship with fiscal responsibility. From the gargantuan deficit of the Labour’s GEXIV manifesto to the 2.25 trillion fiscal rollercoaster that were the many  iterations of the Solidarity manifesto those on the left have almost always put fiscal responsibility on the backburner. 

That is why the fact that the Broad-left document contains a series of extravagant spending pledges should come as no surprise. Nonetheless most previous center-left and left-wing  governments such as Sunrise opted to propose at least some minimum  measures to curb the increases in deficit such as tax rises. This time however there is no such assurances  with the government proposing to rid itself of  a quarter of all revenues from LVT by devolving the tax fully without considering how big of a role the tax plays in funding our public services. The coalition agreement shows us this is a government without a plan and will make it up as it goes along. It’s clear the Treasury will need to raise taxation on ordinary people and it will be interesting to see if the government is straight up with people that it won’t be the ordinary workers paying for this but the wealthy

On the expenditure side, there are proposals to effectively throw away tenths if not hundreds of billions on a DOA nationalisation program. Even if we ignore nationalisation the structural deficit is set to surge massively as day-to-day expenditure is set to skyrocket even further. Whether that be “free” personal care, extra foreign aid or any other of the endless spending packages proposed. 

A deeply concerning fact is that the United Kingdom does not have this money, almost all the projects contained within documents are most likely going to be funded by borrowing and borrowing alone. Thanks to which the new government would all but guarantee that our children would find themselves saddled with enormous amounts of debt all for the privilege of getting to pay for an inferior service from the state.

Most reprehensible of all however are the government’s fiscal priorities or lack thereof. At a time of escalating tensions and uncertainty they are proposing to slash funding to our armed forces, while also pushing for a 2% target of international aid, a department that has time and time again been shown to be a white elephant. The government will be forced to put your taxes, raise taxes on ordinary British workers so it can ship your money overseas. The same can also be said for the proposal to spend billions of pounds reinstating regressive VAT relief that benefits the rich all the while wasting billions on subsidising cooperatives and kneecapping successful businesses with an array of punitive and spiteful measures such as a cut in free port numbers and a swath of nonsensical regulations.

 Fortunately the government finds it without a working majority Nonetheless with a PM hellbent on ramming through their agenda and a Chancellor seemingly oblivious of the cost of their own policies it is imperative that the center and the center-right  come together and  put the brakes on before it is too late…

Far-left deal reached as parties scramble for number 10

Written by Harry  Johnson and Tres Commas

On the back of the leaked Groko, the Telegraph has obtained documents revealing a coalition deal between Solidarity, Labour and the WNP with a C+S agreement from the PWP. If formed this would represent the strongest leftist government seen in recent times. The deal sees Solidarity leader motelblinds as Prime Minister, while current PM Youma will become DPM. The deal contains a multiple of policies which are far-reaching and radical but without a clear majority in the Commons how much of this will actually be passed is still in question. 

The breakdown of cabinet can be found here: 

Prime Ministermotelblinds
Deputy Prime MinisterYoumaton
First Secretary of Stateohprkl
Minister for the Cabinet Office, Paymaster GeneralSolidarity
Secretary of State for EqualitiesLabour
Chancellor of the ExchequerSolidarity
Chief Secretary to the Treasury (attending Cabinet)Labour
Secretary of State for the Home DepartmentLabour
Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth AffairsSolidarity
Assistant Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs (attending cabinet)Labour
Secretary of State for International TradeLabour
Minister of State for European Affairs (attending cabinet)Labour
Secretary of State for International DevelopmentSolidarity
Secretary of State for DefenceSolidarity
Minister of State for Cybersecurity (attending cabinet)Labour
Secretary of State for Business and Economic DevelopmentSolidarity
Lord Chancellor and Secretary of State for JusticeLabour
Secretary of State for Digital, Culture, Media, and SportLabour
Secretary of State for Housing, Communities, and Local GovernmentSolidarity
Minister of State for the Northern Powerhouse (attending cabinet)Solidarity
Secretary of State for the Environment, Food, and Rural AffairsSolidarity
Secretary of State for Energy and Climate ChangeSolidarity
Secretary of State for Workers and Trade UnionsSolidarity
Secretary of State for EducationLabour
Secretary of State for TransportSolidarity
Secretary of State for Health and Social CareSolidarity
Secretary of State for ScotlandSolidarity
Secretary of State for WalesArchism_
Secretary of State for Northern IrelandLabour
Lord President of the Council, Leader of the House of CommonsSolidarity
Lord Privy Seal, Leader of the House of LordsLabour
Chief Whip (Parliamentary Secretary to the Treasury)Solidarity
Lords Chief Whip (Captain of the Honourable Corps of Gentlemen at Arms)Labour
Attorney General for EnglandSolidarity
Solicitor General for EnglandLabour
Chancellor of the Duchy of LancasterLabour
Chief MouserBubbles

On the economy there appears to be a lack of clarity as to what sort of measures the socialist government would undertake to balance the books. There is no mention of income and corporate taxes nor VAT ,with the only exception being proposed devolution of Land Value Taxes which would see a significant chunk of government revenue slashed. Moreover the document also refers to several tremendous increases in expenditure such as the near trebling of the international development budget to 2% of the GDP , nationalisation of water and energy services and other endeavours such as the construction of 3 million council homes as well as a “transition to Green Economy”.  All in all the proposed agreement sets out no clear plan as to how to adequately address the eye watering costs of its proposals let alone how to pass them.

The Home Department front there is set to be major changes to immigration. The government plans to scrap the points-based immigration system and grant amnesty for non-criminal undocumented migrants in the UK. They will also stop using detention centers for any non-violent immigration violations. They also intend to pursue Freedom of Movement for persons and goods in the Commonwealth. This is sure to raise a few alarm bells in Westminster due to its vagueness and potentially to once again put the UK back in a supranational agreement with no control over our borders. 

The Solidarity-led government will also oversee many nationalizations. The government plans to nationalise busing and rail. The costs of such a plan is expected to run into the hundreds of billions. Another plan is to mandate a four day four week which is expected to damage the economy by 85 billion and impact government services like the police and NHS. There is also the proposal to nationalise all PFI debts ,totalling over a quartet of a trillion pounds.

While practically all departments are set to received drastic increases in expenditure with the only major exemption being the Ministry of Defence , which is set to see its budget slashed back down to 2% of the GDP putting national defence effectively on par with international development.The MOD is set to find its resources stretched thin under this deal as the authors also propose new spending initiatives under the Ministry such as a  National Defence Industry Plan and National Shipbuilding Scheme both of which would likely require the addition of new resources to the ministry. They also plan to give back the Chagos Islands, a very contentious subject and since the Tories and LPUK backed a deal making sure Parliament had a say in all territal handovers it is unclear how the government will manage this without a Commons majority. 

They also plan to commit 2% of GDP to international aid which is expected to be over 40 billion pounds. In addition to the plan to limit England to just one free port is sure to damage the UK’s international trade abilities. 

On the education front, the government will ban all grammar schools and impose state control. This is a move against public opinion as evidenced by the results of the general elections and polling carried out by Yougov. 

A notable omission from this deal is the brexit deal and the controversial Irish border protocol , which may very well appear to be the most problematic of this deal so far as Solidarity and the SDLP both have demanded that the protocol be amended ,with the latter opting to collapse the Northern Irish Executive, while Labour helped author that very deal. It is interesting to see how the socialist government would try to tackle the issue at hand.

Continuing on with the apparently contradictory trade policy the broad-left government is set to pursue a trade agreement with the USA A move which no doubt will cause controversy amongst the leftist orthodoxy  and a significant portion of Solidarity electorate who voted in Solidarity on the promise of challenging the United States.

Analysis:

The deal presents a series of bold and radical policies that are likely to unsettle the more moderate Labourites especially in the light of Labour attacks on Solidarity last term. Much also remains to be seen on the issue of Brexit where there appears to be a significant gap between the Solidarity Party and their Labour partners.The question now appears to be whether  Solidarity could exert enough influence over its junior coalition partners to force them to go back on their own deal.

A budget appears to be another sticking point given the current center and center-right makeup of the parliament as well as the enormous costs attached to the government’s plans with no clear proposal to pay for them.

While the plan is ambitious how much of it can be implemented is in the air due to the current arithmetic in Parliament. Concessions will have to be made with the government cutting deals with the Lib Dems , the Tories  or Coalition. 

Government of Disunity – Tory Labour and PWP coalition leaked

Image result for number ten downing street

Written By Harry Johnson and Tres Commas

As the deadline for government formation looms the Telegraph has managed to obtain what purports to be a copy of a coalition deal for a “unity” government. The proposed government would find itself with 53 out of 150 seats in the house of Commons. If passed the deal would see the head of the Independent Grouping /u/SpectacularSalad become Prime minister with the Conservative Leader /u/Padanub becoming Deputy Prime Minister and current Prime Minister  /u/Youmaton becoming First Secretary of State. A full breakdown of cabinet can be viewed below

The deal represents what seems to be a last ditch attempt to prevent the LPUK-led or Solidarity government. It would be a surprising move indeed, not just with the positioning of the Tories and Labour but especially given their recent election results where the old two party giants both lost seats leaving LPUK and Solidarity the largest parties in Parliament. 

Policywise the deal appears to be a hodge-podge of Labour and Conservative policies. Protectionist measures appear to be the centerpoint of the deal ,which proposes to impose “preferential taxation rules to support heritage goods under this scheme, allowing us to support British Goods with historic and cultural value.” and the rollout of geographic indicators  The deal also proposes a range of other expenditures such as large funding increases for the National Health Service, partial abolition of tuition fees ,a new benefit for workers under the age of 25 as well as a slew of other  vague expenditures. There is also the vague proposal to go to the moon ,which according to NASA projections would cost tens of billions alone.  It is unclear whether all of these proposals can be realistically funded with higher rates of income tax alone.

The coalition takes a middle of the road approach to immigration, opting to propose a “liberal and reasonable” system with proposed low barriers to labour mobility and reciprocal freedom of movement deals . It is unknown whether the government would choose to retain the current Conservative immigration system or chose to pursue a Labour-backed alternative.

Perhaps the most interesting is the proposal for tax power parity. If implemented the proposal would see Corporation and income tax powers devolved to Wales , with potential corporation tax devolution to Scotland. This appears to be a major concession from the Conservative as it would see the Tories capitulate on most devolution issues. The Conservatives also appear to have lost out on FTPA with the deal pledging to support the now-repealed Act.

 Nonetheless the document also contains other major concessions and u-turns from the constituent parties with the Labour  Party appearing to capitulate on Trident abolition and many defence proposals. Moreover very few concessions appear to have been given to the junior members of this coalition, the PWP.

Analysis:

The self-proclaimed purpose of the government is to lockout any prospective Libertarian-lead government from Number 10, beyond this there appears to be very few other common goals. It remains to be seen how the prospective government would handle the Irish border issue given that the prospective Prime Minister and members of the People’s Workers Party have vociferously opposed the Border protocol , with Labour and the Conservatives supporting it. The deal is also silent on specific budget issues with the authors choosing to strike a specific budget deal in the future ,while committing to large spending increases without a plan to adequately fund them and control the deficit.

Devolution appears to also be a potential flashpoint as it is unclear whether Conservative backbenchers who only last term attempted to prevent the devolution of Corporation tax to Wales would find themselves forced to vote for unprecedented  devolution of taxation powers seemingly without a referendum.

While if successful the coalition would be able to command a minority government, many questions would remain over the stability of such a government and if it would be a betrayal of the last election. The Conservatives and Labour still sit on opposite spectrums and even despite compromises eyebrows will be raised if this is just one final attempt by the aging parties of old trying to cling to power. Also bizarrely is the appointment of an independent Salad as PM which would be the first time in modern history an independent Prime Minister would take office. Of course this also apart from the final question being how the public who supported in greater numbers the LPUK and Solidarity react to this old party government which promises much more of the same ,while offering a seemingly disjointed cabinet.

In defence of the budget deal – a positive vision for our economy

What is the red Budget Box, is Gladstone's 1860 leather briefcase still  used and what is in the Chancellor's despatch box?

Written by Harry Johnson for the Telegraph 

If you read any of the most recent  Solidarity or SATUP press on the recent budget deal between the LPUK and the government you’d think that the worst has to come to the worst and that just like Alastair Darling in 2009  the  Labour government is going to “cut deeper than Thatcher”. Yet the reality requires one to look no further than the joint statement issued by /u/Friedmanite19  and the Chancellor /u/NGspy.

To quote the Chancellor themselves “These benefits shall ensure that the government has enough to fund and build on the programs that the government has offered, including Plant!, ensuring the distribution of laptops to our school kids, more amounts in block grants for Wales and Northern Ireland, and a general increase in defense spending by 1.1 billion pounds annually.” Clearly then anyone calling this budget “austere” is either lying or does not understand what austerity policies actually are. This is especially true in the case of Wales, which thanks to the F4 deal have been left in a state of austerity.

That is not to mention the host of progressive tax cuts aimed at our SMEs and the working people of this country. National insurance has for too long remained an unfair burden on the Britons who found themselves hit by a 12% stealth tax despite the lowest tax rates under our deal this will no longer be the case as the NIC threshold is to be matched with the personal allowance so that the tax code remains both progressive and transparent.  Sin taxes are another positive of our deal. Under the previous Conservative budget, we would have had some of the highest rates in Europe, merely to punish people for what they considered to be a wrong choice.  These policies, unlike the series of tax hikes proposed by hidden Solidarity, ushered in by their preferred economic theory will put hundreds of pounds back into the pockets of working families.

The same can also be said about our small and medium enterprises, which will be sure to benefit from a 2.5% reduction in their tax bill. x. Over half the costs of the corporation tax are borne by the workers themselves therefore it is only fair for us to push for its reduction. The Chancellor’s flagship dividend imputation policy will be yet another boon to our entrepreneurs and workers as the burden of double taxation will be lifted from them.

We were told this parliament would get nothing done after the Blurple government collapsed however our great budget deal gets parliament working and working for you. Regressive sin taxes down, ordinary families keeping more of what they earn by slashing NIC’s, a fairer block grant system. This budget delivers for the lowest paid and low-income households and makes sound economic sense. Whilst others have been sniping at the sidelines, the government and Libertarians have been working hard to finalize the budget tables and draft a budget that puts money into the pockets of working families. 

 The only losers from this budget deal are solidarity and their hard-left ideology. They no doubt want this government to get nothing done so they could stoke up resentment among the electorate in a vain attempt to try to boost their seat share. Their whole ideology revolves around sowing discontent and polarising the electorate after all.

 The Chancellor has no doubt taken the right decision to get through his flagship policies of dividend imputation and SME cuts by working across the aisle with the British people being the winners.

“No waste no problem” – opinion

Scottish budget passes first stage vote with support from the Greens

Written by Harry Johnson for the Telegraph

After the Conservative government has regained progressive support Scotland once again finds itself facing a large deficit. There is much debate of potential tax raises ,but perhaps cutting waste may be the better solution. To understand why it may be worth taking a look as to where Scottish taxpayers may not be getting value for their money and where savings can be made.

The sports subsidy for instance is a well-intentioned misfire.. A US federal reserve study found that for every 1 dollar of federal aid allocated to students the colleges would simply raise the prices by 60cents, netting the prospective student a meager 40 cents in relief. That is certainly far from a one to one comparison but shows us just how wasteful these government subsidies truly are.

The same problems arise when examining other expenditure proposals such as the pupil premium, which according to Ofsted has resulted in millions being wasted on chasing unrealistic targets and hiring overpaid teaching assistants. Neither of which have been shown to have a major impact on student attainment.

Comparatively speaking however these projects are relatively benign compared to arguably the biggest long-term drain on our coffers  – the Scottish pensions agency. Combined the public sector pensions represent over 6.4 billion or roughly 15% of the budget. This is in contrast to Westminster, where pension schemes overall represent less than 3% of the overall budget.

Infrastructure is another area where major savings can be made with examples of this are the Green Infrastructure Strategy in Scotland . In this case over 5 billion pounds are to be diverted from the Treasury coffers in exchange for the prospect of some long-term benefit. Yet as time goes on these benefits get smaller and smaller until we are making a net loss. To see  how  one only has to look south of the border.

Initially, the HS2 project was supposed to bring in 2.40 pounds for every pound spent. In 2013 that figure was revised to 1.80. Currently, experts like Lord Berkeley estimate the railway to bring 0.66 pounds for every pound spent. A net loss of 34 pounds for the privilege of literally railroading communities out of existence and the destruction of ancient woodlands.

Yet the same principle  holds true for virtually every single such government program. The supposedly infallible National Health Service keeps lagging in survivability and placing far behind its marketised  European counterparts in rankings despite unprecedented investment and cross-party support. In England, universal child care was a similar story with even the Conservative Party rightly recognizing its utter failure and replacing it with a much smaller, yet more effective help to pay model expected to cost only a sixth of the original bonanza.

There is undeniably room for government spending and intervention in a modern economy. A strong national defense and judiciary must exist to stop bad actors and uphold contracts just like some sort of a safety net must exist to protect the least fortunate from slipping through the cracks, but ultimately this is not the subject of this debate. What the taxpayers are being asked to do in Scotland is to foot the bill for a white elephant. 

That’s why you the taxpayer should not ask yourself how much is being spent, but rather what percentage of this funding will benefit you and the society at large because every time you will know how to spend that money better.

Controversy over government sacking

New 'Community Shares' to boost local services - GOV.UK

Written by Harry Johnson for the Telegraph

The Chief Secretary of Treasury was dismissed from his cabinet position as Housing and Communities Secretary on Sunday due to inactivity. Much of the outrage surrounding the sacking appears to stem from the fashion in , which the Minister was removed by the Deputy Prime Minister with the latter claiming that:

/u/MTFD dismissed from his cabinet position due to not fulfilling cabinet member responsibilities.”

The Deputy Prime Minister has also taken up the position of HCLG Secretary until a suitable replacement can be found.

Interestingly the Liberal Democrat stalwart retained his rank in cabinet as the senior-most LibDem member of the Treasury, a move which has prompted much backlash with senior LPUK politicians slamming the government for this strange course of action. They were joined by other high-ranking politicians from across the political spectrum who also decried the sacking with former Liberal Democrat and Coalition! Deputy Leader saying 

“Why are you publicly declaring this? Surely a simple cabinet shuffle announcement (when we reconvene) would have been sufficient..?? Maybe there’s more to the story here, but I can’t believe this is how you’re treating a long standing party member.”

It is unclear why the government brutally fired and embarrassed a current cabinet member from a role when they could have reshuffled him out quietly. Not one of the government’s finest moments! 

Questions also remain as to whether the government will choose to retain the Northern Irish Secretary seeing as they also missed their question session. All eyes are on Youmaton’s reshuffle

The Telegraph reached out to the LPUK and government for a comment

When prompted for a statement LPUK Chairman and former Housing Secretary /u/Cody5200 replied 

“The government could have handled this situation a lot better. It’s probably not a wise idea to publicly fire someone from a government role when they are still in the government. Over the last few weeks we have seen a lack of accountability however I hope that in the new year the government will up its game. I think it’s worth watching if the NI Secretary gets the same treatment as MTFD. Hopefully, the government learn from this error and move forward”

The government gave the following statement: “We refer you to our previous statement on the matter.”

“They’re taking our jobs” – when protectionism hurts the working class opinion

Brexit: What trade deals has the UK done so far? - BBC News
Written by Harry Johnson for the Telegraph

For a quite long time now there had been somewhat of a consensus amongst British politicians that free trade is beneficial. This was reflected with bills like the cross-border taxation Act passing 86 to 7 and the Freeport motion receiving wide support from both the Left and the Right. 

At a recent questions session the Work , Skills and Labour Secretary /u/Stalin1963 seems to have taken a stand this consensus by stating that 

>”The ‘fruits of globalisation’ are being offset by rapid urbanisation, increasing economic inequality, increased poverty and homelessness, and increased deprivation. The rapidly increasing transnational movement of money and jobs to cities and countries where costs are cheapest is contributing to the urbanisation of poverty. Unfortunately, the good… is being masked by the vast discrepancies and inequalities that are of a much larger scale.”

 This is starkly contrasted by Labour’s manifesto commitment to free trade. Yet the Work Secretary was not the only recent cabinet Minister to support protectionism with u/KalvinLokan arguing for protectionism in defence procurement while a member of government . On the far-left Solidarity members have argued for protectionist measures to be implemented with the party choosing to back an almost complete reversal of the Cross-border Taxation Act.

As of today anywhere in between 55 and 80 percent of all food products we consume are imported ,while exports and imports combined equate to around 2/3s of our GDP . It would be utterly foolish for a British government regardless of its political allegiance to gamble that away by pursuing mercantilist policies and running the risk of a trade war in the name of attempting to bring back “‘old’’ industries or to gain some negligible amount of perceived leverage.

In fact we don’t even need to dabble in hypotheticals because the negative impact of protectionist policies are well documented. In the 18th and 19th centuries a series of protectionist measures known as the Corn laws caused drastic rises in the prices of grain and ultimately were a contributing factor to the famine in Ireland that set the island back decades.

In the US the pursuit of protectionist tariffs decimated economic growth , forced many farmers out of business all the while sensitive industries like freight hit unprecedented lows  Moreover tensions with Canada and the European Union lead to the souring of relations between longtime allies and disruptions to supply-chains that put many working-class people out of business , those who the left claim to support.

According to one report the conflict is claimed to have cost the United States 300 thousand jobs, moreover, the wealthiest households were found to spend 0.3% of their after-tax income on tariffs , while those in the bottom 10% spent 5 times that. In the United Kingdom the impact of such policies would likely be far greater as the percentage of imports to GDP is roughly twice that to the US here in the UK.

Contrast that with the benefits of free trade and globalisation. Free trade allows Britain to specialise and to produce specialised goods and services  that it can later exchange with the rest of the world.At the end of the day the benefits of  comparative advantage allow us to generate more value than we would have otherwise. To claim that we can somehow create a stronger economy by repatriating the industrial base is like to say that one would prefer the poor to be poorer if it meant the rich were less rich….

Government under siege as new leaks surface – developing story

A meme sent to the Telegraph by one of its readers

Written by Harry Johnson

A new round of leaked statements have been made available to the Telegraph after the leaking of the government’s proposed Brexit strategy. Chief of them being leaks pertaining to the sacking of the former DEFRA secretary who has been expelled from cabinet after being accused of leaking from cabinet  With these new leaks surfacing it appears that these accusations have been put in doubt as according to a member of government who has requested to remain anonymous no evidence has been provided to cabinet as of the time of writing this article.(M: as per request we are not posting minutes publicly ,but are willing to share them with quad if there is a need to verify)

Moreover leaked minutes from a different source show that the government’s communications department has ordered a total radio silence due to fears of further leaks as shown by these minutes. 

 More interestingly leaks have also occurred regarding minimum wage as it appears that the government will raise the minimum wage to £12  despite Conservative objections to a lower rate under the Blurple government.

It is interesting to note that the government is avoiding internal debate ,opting to have the discussion on minimum wage within closed-off leadership channels. Ministers also propose negotiating with the Conservatives in bad faith in order to get the Tories to vote for something they had opposed under Blurple.

Judging by these newly released documents it appears as if the government is concerned about the growing backlash over leaked minutes. Moreover, the Telegraph is also aware of rumours that the investigation carried out by the Foreign and Northern Irish Secretaries found no conclusive evidence linking the DEFRA Secretary and that it is based upon potentially unreliable information from Libertarian members. Regardless of the validity of these rumors, it appears as if the Phoenix coalition may be far less stable than originally thought.

Leaked minutes indicate government could push for Customs Union membership

Written by Harry Johnson

After receiving fierce criticism from the opposition due to a lack of a clear Brexit strategy it appears that the government’s Brexit strategy has at last surfaced with an anonymous source providing the details to the Telegraph. According to the comments made by the Brexit Secretary the government might override “multiple agreements with the European Union”, which may encompass areas such as aviation, the European arrest warrant and a slew of other agreements previously made by successive Conservative-lead governments.

The Telegraph believes that should the Minister’s plan come to fruition the United Kingdom could expect a much softer deal more akin to the current Status Quo. It is also possible that the government may elect to remain in the ECAA and thus maintain at least partial ECJ jurisdiction over the UK.

The Minister of State expresses his desire to stay in the customs union and ‘as many of the European organisations as we possibly can’

Most damningly however the leaked minutes indicate that the government may wish to stay in the European Customs Union and potentially in the single market as is prerequisite for a Norway plus deal proposed by the Minister. The Minister also made the claims that the UK should stay in as many EU institutions as possible and thus he preferred an EFTA or Norway deal.  It is also unclear whether the government will keep the freedom of movement according to the leaked minutes. 

However, given that the government has proposed to overturn points-based immigration and that any EFTA or Norway deal would most likely require Single Market membership it is highly likely that the government will indeed pursue freedom of movement. 

According to the analysts at the Telegraph, it would be very difficult for the government to actually carry out such an agenda without seeking an additional extension, given the sheer volume of negotiations that would have to be redone. The Telegraph has also  reached out to the Libertarian Party’s Spokesman for Trade for a comment on the issue:

“This is extremely worrying and frankly put frustrating for any Brexit ever regardless of the color of their tie. The British public has voted to leave the EU fully over 4 times now, twice in the Brexit and Single Market referendums. Yet what seems to be on offer from the government is a remain minus proposal that would keep us trapped in the EU without representation almost indefinitely. What shocks me the most however is the proposal to remain in the Customs Union. 

Whether you want a soft or hard Brexit you should most definitely oppose this move. A customs union only deal will prevent Britain from forging new ambitious trade deals as we will still be bound to Brussel’s strict tariff policy. In the case of Turkey, this has effectively trapped them in a system where they have all the downsides of being in the EU with zero of the benefits. It’s a fool’s errand really.  It is also questionable whether  staying in the EU can safeguard the GFA any better than the current Irish protocol since the customs union does not guarantee free movement and thus would most likely require us to stay in the Single Market too in what is a remain minus deal that no-one has voted for

This shambles of a proposal only proves why we need the Brexit integrity bill  on the floor pronto. This government is determined to take the easy way and squander the once in a lifetime opportunity to improve our position in the world with a poor deal’’

LPUK trade spokesperson writes for the Telegraph [Op-Ed]

WTO | About the organization - The WTO building: Centre William Rappard

Written by cody5200

NeatSaucer recently wrote an article which made me chuckle and anyone who has been following politics would have been able to see the massive irony in their article.

They claimed:


We have promised to ink out deals with the United States, Japan and similar nations to ensure that as we are leaving the EU with a deal, we can have enhanced trading opportunities, strengthened global partnerships, and increased revenue. These are things which a Blurple Government cannot even in its wildest dreams provide for the people of the United Kingdom.

Let us remember it was the Conservative and Libertarians that saved Brexit from the disaster that was the Liberal alliance who was incompetent at negotating and embarrased the UK on the world stage. This is highly ironic coming from a government which contains the Liberal Democrats who botched negotiations leaving the Tories and Libertarians to save the day and secure a deal with the European Union. Blurple has a track record of delivering whereas Labour has a track record of trying to overturn democratic results and pushing for the debunked Ukraine model. The piece showed how of touch with politics the author was. The fact is Labour have never had a credible plan and at present do not have one. I highly doubt the UK will sign a US trade deal before the end of the implementation period due to the need for the government to focus energy on EU talks. The Libertarians absolutely back a trade deal with the United States and it is hard to take Labour seriously when they have espoused anti US trade deal rhetoric before. Furthermore they can’t even decide what their trade policy is. First they were for abolishing tariffs then against. Labour have no credibility on the matter of international trade.

When we first formed the Blurple government we have put forward a clear and concise vision for a Brexit. A blueprint on how to do it properly and in a manner that most if not all brexiteers can easily get behind. A comprehensive trade agreement with relevant provisions for other issues such as aviation, citizen’s rights, and other issues that would have to be inevitably settled by the 31st.

We built upon this progress in the second and third Blurple governments with the third government almost finalizing the deal to put the issue of Brexit once and for all. Not everything in life goes to plan and the coalition collapsed. Yet the progress made still remains, owing to the efforts of competent ministers like the Foreign and International Trade Secretaries. Two people, I had the immense pleasure of working with in my time as a cabinet secretary.

However, number 10 has a new occupant, a minority Labour-Liberal government that frankly has no clue what it is doing. All that we have heard from them is that they will pursue some sort of a deal by after the official deadline and even that came from a leak, not through official channels. We don’t know what sort of a deal the government wants, how will they solve the issue of Northern Ireland, or the degree of integration with the EU their deal would entail. All we know is that there might be a deal by the first and after that, it’s up to us to fill in the blanks. This is a stark contrast to Blurple where the framework for the EU-UK relationship has been public since July 2019.

This is especially dangerous because whenever uncertainty is introduced to the market chaos and instability. Moreover, no trade deal occurs in a vacuum, a deal we sign with the EU will inevitably impact our trade relationships elsewhere. For instance say the government botched the deal and breached the GFA. Not only would this directly impact Northern Ireland, but also impede a potential UK-US trade deal, due to the current makeup of US congress. This will be true no matter who occupies number 10 and through enhanced parliamentary scrutiny we can avoid such a nightmare scenario.

Glossing over the material issues related to such a strategy, is this really how we want our government to behave with the deadline creeping ever closer? The government is already yet to explain to the House why they wish to haphazardly neuter our force projection capabilities in the Indian Ocean and now they are leaving the House of Commons and more importantly the markets in the dark about one of the largest and most complex undertakings in our history.  There is also no guarantee that there will be a majority for the government’s deal to pass unlike in the case of Blurple 3 where the government could expect to pass its deal easily.  What happens then? 

That is why it is crucial for the coalition to build upon the progress of the Blurple government’s strategy and consequently pursue a free trade agreement with no further EU integration beyond the barebones like the Irish protocol and ultimately why I and my party have felt obliged to table the Brexit integrity bill. We must ensure that Brexit is done on time and properly, lest we wish to risk another 2-page sunrise whitepaper…